Combat Edge Intelligence

Elsa Cerezo vs Juliana Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record4-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
-Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kabeza TeamTeam10th Planet San Diego

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elsa CerezoNow 1530
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506
Juliana MillerNow 1523
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.16
TBD
Takedown accuracy
13%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Elsa CerezoJuliana Miller
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Elsa Cerezo51%
Juliana Miller 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Elsa Cerezo a 51% favorite over Juliana Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1523), separated by just 7 points.

Juliana Miller 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.