Combat Edge Intelligence

Farshad Nazarnia vs Felipe Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record4-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-Reach-
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Unit MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farshad NazarniaNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Felipe RosaNow 1608
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-24→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Farshad NazarniaFelipe Rosa
15001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Farshad Nazarnia and Felipe Rosa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Felipe Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Rosa 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.