Combat Edge Intelligence

Gleb Khabibulin vs Johnny Case

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Johnny Case
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Johnny Case

“Hollywood”

30-10-1WelterweightRFF

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

12-3-3Record30-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'10"
66"Reach72,5"
147 lbsWeight159 lbs
Sech ProTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gleb KhabibulinNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Johnny CaseNow 1626
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.66
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Gleb KhabibulinJohnny Case
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
21 (72%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (14%)
8 (67%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gleb Khabibulin and Johnny Case within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.

Gleb Khabibulin finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Case 86%.

Johnny Case carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.