Combat Edge Intelligence

Gustavo Lopez vs Paulo Portillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-1Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach-
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAZ Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gustavo LopezNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630
Paulo PortilloNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gustavo LopezPaulo Portillo
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
8 (50%)
Submission
11 (65%)
1 (6%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Paulo Portillo60%
Gustavo Lopez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paulo Portillo a 60% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gustavo Lopez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gustavo Lopez finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Portillo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.