Combat Edge Intelligence

Hafeni Nafuka vs James Llontop

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hafeni Nafuka
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Hafeni Nafuka

“The Namibian Nightmare”

12-5-0LightweightOKMMA

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach73″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight FusionTeamTeam FFC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hafeni NafukaNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
James LlontopNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hafeni NafukaJames Llontop
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
8 (67%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (17%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Hafeni Nafuka84%
James Llontop 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hafeni Nafuka a 84% favorite over James Llontop in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Llontop's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1615), separated by just 3 points.

James Llontop enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Hafeni Nafuka finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, James Llontop 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.