Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Hadley vs Paulo Portillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jake Hadley
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Jake Hadley

“White Kong”

12-6-0FlyweightPFL

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70"Reach-
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team FearlessTeamAZ Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake HadleyNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Paulo PortilloNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0.33
Takedown avg.
TBD
11%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.14
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jake HadleyPaulo Portillo
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
6 (50%)
Submission
11 (65%)
3 (25%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Paulo Portillo63%
Jake Hadley 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paulo Portillo a 63% favorite over Jake Hadley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jake Hadley finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Portillo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.