Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Woodley vs Matthieu Duclos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-Reach77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team BodyshopTeamVenum Training Camp Paris

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake WoodleyNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609
Matthieu DuclosNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.81
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jake WoodleyMatthieu Duclos
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
1 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jake Woodley and Matthieu Duclos within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.

Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Matthieu Duclos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jake Woodley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.