Combat Edge Intelligence

Jay Perrin vs Nicolas Mandiola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jay Perrin
us

Jay Perrin

“The Joker”

13-8-0BantamweightCTFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamKiltros Crew

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jay PerrinNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Nicolas MandiolaNow 1589
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
2.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
53%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jay PerrinNicolas Mandiola
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (60%)
7 (54%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolas Mandiola52%
Jay Perrin 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolas Mandiola a 52% favorite over Jay Perrin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jay Perrin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1589), separated by just 0 points.

Jay Perrin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jay Perrin finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Mandiola 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.