Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessin Ayari vs Niko Samsonidse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jessin Ayari
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Jessin Ayari

“Abacus”

16-6-0LightweightINNFERNO

1651Good

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Hammers TeamTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jessin AyariNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Niko SamsonidseNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.32
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jessin AyariNiko Samsonidse
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
8 (50%)
Submission
7 (54%)
5 (31%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Niko Samsonidse60%
Jessin Ayari 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Niko Samsonidse a 60% favorite over Jessin Ayari in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jessin Ayari's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Jessin Ayari enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jessin Ayari finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Niko Samsonidse 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.