Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesus Gutierrez vs Victor Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record12-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
-Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Bonebreakers MMATeamPitbull Jiu-Jitsu Club

What's at stake

Victor Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jesus Gutierrez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jesus GutierrezNow 1488
If they win+18→ 1506
If they lose-14→ 1474
Victor NunesNow 1542
If they win+14→ 1556
If they lose-18→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jesus GutierrezVictor Nunes
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
6 (75%)
Submission
2 (17%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Nunes83%
Jesus Gutierrez 17%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Nunes a 83% favorite over Jesus Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Victor Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1542 to 1488, a 54-point edge.

Jesus Gutierrez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jesus Gutierrez finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Victor Nunes 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.