Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquim Silva vs Niko Samsonidse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
69"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joaquim SilvaNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Niko SamsonidseNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.39
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.78
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joaquim SilvaNiko Samsonidse
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
3 (21%)
Submission
7 (54%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Niko Samsonidse60%
Joaquim Silva 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Niko Samsonidse a 60% favorite over Joaquim Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joaquim Silva's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1650), separated by just 0 points.

Joaquim Silva finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Niko Samsonidse 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.