Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Case vs Sharapudin Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Johnny Case
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Johnny Case

“Hollywood”

30-10-1WelterweightRFF

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

30-10-1Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72,5"Reach-
159 lbsWeight147 lbs
MMA LabTeamGorets Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johnny CaseNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
Sharapudin MagomedovNow 1627
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
1.70
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.19
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Johnny CaseSharapudin Magomedov
16002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

21 (72%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
4 (14%)
Submission
3 (43%)
4 (14%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Sharapudin Magomedov59%
Johnny Case 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sharapudin Magomedov a 59% favorite over Johnny Case in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Johnny Case's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Sharapudin Magomedov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Johnny Case finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Sharapudin Magomedov 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.