Jonas Mågård vs Shoko Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record38-17-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
72.8"Reach71"
136 lbsWeight134 lbs
Redline Training CenterTeamFight Base Toritsudai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonas MågårdShoko Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shoko Sato59%
Jonas Mågård 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shoko Sato a 59% favorite over Jonas Mågård in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonas Mågård's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1674), separated by just 3 points.
Jonas Mågård enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Shoko Sato enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jonas Mågård finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Shoko Sato 63%.
Jonas Mågård carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.