Jonathan Garcia vs Leo Bonin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach69.7"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Cicero CostaTeamBlack Dragon Martial Arts & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan GarciaLeo Bonin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leo Bonin51%
Jonathan Garcia 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Leo Bonin a 51% favorite over Jonathan Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.
Jonathan Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Leo Bonin enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jonathan Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Leo Bonin 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.