Josh Culibao vs Koji Takeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-1Record19-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
73"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Igor MMATeamTribe Tokyo MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh CulibaoKoji Takeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Koji Takeda81%
Josh Culibao 19%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Koji Takeda a 81% favorite over Josh Culibao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Culibao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1638), separated by just 0 points.
Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Koji Takeda enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Josh Culibao finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Koji Takeda 42%.
Josh Culibao carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.