Juan Pablo Vieira vs Mochamed Machaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0Record17-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
75"Reach-
155 lbsWeight148 lbs
Dyogo Teles MMATeamGym 23
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Juan Pablo VieiraMochamed Machaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Juan Pablo Vieira63%
Mochamed Machaev 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Juan Pablo Vieira a 63% favorite over Mochamed Machaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mochamed Machaev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1713), separated by just 3 points.
Juan Pablo Vieira enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Mochamed Machaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Juan Pablo Vieira finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mochamed Machaev 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.