Kamuela Kirk vs Shay Ingram
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
75"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Siege MMATeamTeam Renegade BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kamuela KirkShay Ingram
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shay Ingram54%
Kamuela Kirk 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shay Ingram a 54% favorite over Kamuela Kirk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kamuela Kirk's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1582), separated by just 0 points.
Kamuela Kirk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kamuela Kirk finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Shay Ingram 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.