Combat Edge Intelligence

Karshyga Dautbek vs Kyoma Akimoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record12-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamJapan Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karshyga DautbekNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
Kyoma AkimotoNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Karshyga DautbekKyoma Akimoto
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (79%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (17%)
3 (16%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyoma Akimoto52%
Karshyga Dautbek 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyoma Akimoto a 52% favorite over Karshyga Dautbek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karshyga Dautbek's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1723), separated by just 1 points.

Karshyga Dautbek enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Kyoma Akimoto enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Karshyga Dautbek finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Kyoma Akimoto 75%.

Karshyga Dautbek and Kyoma Akimoto share 1 common opponent: Kyohei Hagiwara.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (Punches) · 2026
Kyohei Hagiwara
WinTKO (Punches) · 2025