Combat Edge Intelligence

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Shane Collins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record8-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
EXFIGHTTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keiichiro NakamuraNow 1674
If they win+24→ 1698
If they lose-24→ 1650
Shane CollinsNow 1673
If they win+24→ 1697
If they lose-24→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.22
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
66%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Keiichiro NakamuraShane Collins
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (13%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Keiichiro Nakamura and Shane Collins within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.

Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Shane Collins enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Keiichiro Nakamura finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Shane Collins 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.