Koji Takeda vs Lerryan Douglas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
68"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMATeamKiller Bees
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Koji TakedaLerryan Douglas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Koji Takeda51%
Lerryan Douglas 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Koji Takeda a 51% favorite over Lerryan Douglas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lerryan Douglas's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.
Koji Takeda enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lerryan Douglas enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Koji Takeda finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Lerryan Douglas 79%.
Lerryan Douglas carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.