Leo Bonin vs Mathieu Greco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69.7"Reach-
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Black Dragon Martial Arts & FitnessTeamBali MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leo BoninMathieu Greco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leo Bonin61%
Mathieu Greco 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Leo Bonin a 61% favorite over Mathieu Greco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.
Leo Bonin enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mathieu Greco enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Leo Bonin finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mathieu Greco 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.