Leonardo Cerboni vs Ollie Sarwa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
151 lbsWeight139 lbs
Brazilian Top TeamTeamForce MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo CerboniOllie Sarwa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Cerboni71%
Ollie Sarwa 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Cerboni a 71% favorite over Ollie Sarwa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1661), separated by just 0 points.
Leonardo Cerboni enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Leonardo Cerboni finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Sarwa 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.