Combat Edge Intelligence

Louie Sanoudakis vs Raulian Paiva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record23-6-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Louie SanoudakisNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Raulian PaivaNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.01
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.65
TBD
Takedown accuracy
24%
TBD
Takedown defense
77%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Louie SanoudakisRaulian Paiva
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (13%)
8 (62%)
Decision
16 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sanoudakis79%
Raulian Paiva 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sanoudakis a 79% favorite over Raulian Paiva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.

Louie Sanoudakis enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Louie Sanoudakis finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Raulian Paiva 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.