Marcio Cabral vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Bonfim BrothersTeamTeam XCWT MMA
What's at stake
Marcio Cabral is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ryan Parker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1521
If they lose-26→ 1473
If they win+17→ 1493
If they lose-15→ 1461
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcio CabralRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Cabral84%
Ryan Parker 16%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 84% favorite over Ryan Parker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Marcio Cabral holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1499 to 1476, a 23-point edge.
Ryan Parker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcio Cabral finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.