Combat Edge Intelligence

Mateusz Legierski vs Michael Dufort

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Michael Dufort
ca

Michael Dufort

“The Canadian Badass”

17-6-0LightweightSMMA

1698Good

Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach74"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Octagon TeamTeamH2O MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mateusz LegierskiNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Michael DufortNow 1698
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mateusz LegierskiMichael Dufort
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
4 (29%)
Submission
13 (76%)
6 (43%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mateusz Legierski and Michael Dufort within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1698), separated by just 2 points.

Mateusz Legierski enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michael Dufort enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mateusz Legierski finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Michael Dufort 94%.

Michael Dufort carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.