Combat Edge Intelligence

Maysara Mohamed vs Ricardo Lemos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-1Record5-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
TROOPS MMATeamCM System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maysara MohamedNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Ricardo LemosNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Maysara MohamedRicardo Lemos
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (80%)
4 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Lemos71%
Maysara Mohamed 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lemos a 71% favorite over Maysara Mohamed in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1607), separated by just 6 points.

Ricardo Lemos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Maysara Mohamed finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lemos 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.