Combat Edge Intelligence

Namo Fazil vs Trey Waters

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Namo Fazil
iq

Namo Fazil

“Saif”

10-1-0WelterweightMVP

1678Good
Trey Waters
us

Trey Waters

“The Truth”

10-2-0WelterweightPFL

1679Good

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'5"
-Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamLudus MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Namo FazilNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Trey WatersNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.39
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.40
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
86%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Namo FazilTrey Waters
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
4 (40%)
Submission
3 (30%)
2 (20%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Trey Waters54%
Namo Fazil 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 54% favorite over Namo Fazil in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1679), separated by just 1 points.

Namo Fazil enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Namo Fazil finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Trey Waters 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.