Nelson Rojas vs Shuichi Kanda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record18-16-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight134 lbs
Team WeichafeTeamKTC MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nelson RojasShuichi Kanda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nelson Rojas64%
Shuichi Kanda 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Nelson Rojas a 64% favorite over Shuichi Kanda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1525), separated by just 8 points.
Shuichi Kanda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nelson Rojas finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Shuichi Kanda 22%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.