Combat Edge Intelligence

Neto Lopes vs Nicolas Mandiola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamKiltros Crew

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Neto LopesNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
Nicolas MandiolaNow 1589
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Neto LopesNicolas Mandiola
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
1 (20%)
Submission
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Neto Lopes and Nicolas Mandiola within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1589), separated by just 3 points.

Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Neto Lopes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Mandiola 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.