Combat Edge Intelligence

Pedro Souza vs Stiven Shehu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Stiven Shehu
be

Stiven Shehu

“The Illyrian”

4-1-0LightweightCWFC

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach-
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cerrado MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pedro SouzaNow 1585
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561
Stiven ShehuNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Pedro SouzaStiven Shehu
145015001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
4 (80%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Pedro Souza67%
Stiven Shehu 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Souza a 67% favorite over Stiven Shehu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1583), separated by just 2 points.

Pedro Souza enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Stiven Shehu enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Pedro Souza finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Stiven Shehu 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.