Roman Paulus vs Saimon Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record18-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach72"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Spartakus Fight GymTeamAstra Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Roman PaulusSaimon Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Paulus88%
Saimon Oliveira 12%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Paulus a 88% favorite over Saimon Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Saimon Oliveira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.
Roman Paulus enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Saimon Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Roman Paulus finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Saimon Oliveira 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.