Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan Hickey vs Shunichi Shimizu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record35-28-10
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pathway Jiu-JitsuTeamPolar Gym Osaka

What's at stake

Shunichi Shimizu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ryan Hickey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ryan HickeyNow 1471
If they win+26→ 1497
If they lose-22→ 1449
Shunichi ShimizuNow 1496
If they win+11→ 1507
If they lose-13→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
TBD
Strike defense
31%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ryan HickeyShunichi Shimizu
15002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (12%)
0 (0%)
Submission
19 (56%)
0 (0%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Hickey63%
Shunichi Shimizu 37%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hickey a 63% favorite over Shunichi Shimizu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shunichi Shimizu's way (46%).

Shunichi Shimizu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1496 to 1471, a 25-point edge.

Shunichi Shimizu 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.