Ryo Sakai vs Sean Rose
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-15-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
-ReachN/A
246 lbsWeight264 lbs
Ranger GymTeamTBD
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sean Rose carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1502
If they lose-13→ 1478
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryo SakaiSean Rose
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai72%
Sean Rose 28%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 72% favorite over Sean Rose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1472, a 19-point edge.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.