Combat Edge Intelligence

Tarcísio Romano vs Victor Gabriel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-8-1Record8-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Cerrado MMATeamTeam Furao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tarcísio RomanoNow 1519
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503
Victor GabrielNow 1519
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Tarcísio RomanoVictor Gabriel
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (25%)
3 (25%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Gabriel62%
Tarcísio Romano 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Gabriel a 62% favorite over Tarcísio Romano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tarcísio Romano's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1519), separated by just 0 points.

Tarcísio Romano finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Victor Gabriel 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.