Pavel Gordeev vs Aleksandr Grozin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record25-7-2
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
71" Reach-
157 lbsWeight147 lbs
Archangel Michael Club· 1768 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRaty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pavel GordeevAleksandr Grozin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pavel Gordeev55%
Aleksandr Grozin 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pavel Gordeev a 55% favorite over Aleksandr Grozin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1698), separated by just 2 points.
Pavel Gordeev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pavel Gordeev finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Aleksandr Grozin 36%.
Pavel Gordeev and Aleksandr Grozin share 1 common opponent: Bibert Tumenov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossTKO (Punches) · 2025
LossTKO (Punches) · 2026