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Combat Edge Intelligence

Pavel Gordeev vs Jalin Turner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jalin Turner
us

Jalin Turner

“The Tarantula”

16-9-0LightweightUFC

1703Good

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record16-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'3"
71" Reach77"
157 lbsWeight156 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pavel GordeevNow 1702
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-12→ 1690
Jalin TurnerNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.79
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
Not available
Strike defense
42%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.75
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
75%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Pavel GordeevJalin Turner
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (8%)
KO/TKO
12 (75%)
6 (25%)
Submission
4 (25%)
16 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jalin Turner62%
Pavel Gordeev 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jalin Turner a 62% favorite over Pavel Gordeev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1703), separated by just 1 points.

Pavel Gordeev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jalin Turner enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Pavel Gordeev finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Jalin Turner 100%.

Jalin Turner carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.