Combat Edge Intelligence

Rony Henrique vs Ronaldo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-16-1Record11-6-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'4"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamCarrasco Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rony HenriqueNow 1562
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
Ronaldo OliveiraNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Rony HenriqueRonaldo Oliveira
14001450150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
3 (13%)
Submission
8 (73%)
8 (35%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronaldo Oliveira53%
Rony Henrique 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronaldo Oliveira a 53% favorite over Rony Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1565), separated by just 3 points.

Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Oliveira 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.