Aaron Aby vs Felipe dos Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-11-1Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach 70"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
The MMA Academy LiverpoolTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1594
If they lose-12→ 1570
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron AbyFelipe dos Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Aby70%
Felipe dos Santos 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Aby a 70% favorite over Felipe dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1582), separated by just 0 points.
Aaron Aby enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aaron Aby finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Felipe dos Santos 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.