Aaron Aby vs Pedro Nobre
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-11-1Record22-7-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
The MMA Academy LiverpoolTeamBrazilian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1594
If they lose-12→ 1570
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron AbyPedro Nobre
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Aby79%
Pedro Nobre 21%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Aby a 79% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Nobre's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1587), separated by just 5 points.
Aaron Aby enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Aaron Aby finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.