Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Aby vs Saher Qasmieh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-11-1Record3-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
The MMA Academy LiverpoolTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron AbyNow 1581
If they win+12→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1569
Saher QasmiehNow 1572
If they win+25→ 1597
If they lose-23→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aaron AbySaher Qasmieh
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
7 (37%)
Submission
2 (67%)
10 (53%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aaron Aby and Saher Qasmieh within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1572), separated by just 9 points.

Aaron Aby enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Saher Qasmieh enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Aaron Aby finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Saher Qasmieh 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.