Aaron Phillips vs Alan Philpott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record21-18-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach68"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamIMMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1517
If they lose-17→ 1485
If they win+12→ 1503
If they lose-12→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsAlan Philpott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Philpott66%
Aaron Phillips 34%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Philpott a 66% favorite over Aaron Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Phillips's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1491), separated by just 11 points.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Alan Philpott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Alan Philpott 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.