Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Phillips vs Daniel Bzdigian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record0-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10''
TBDReach70''
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamTeam Bodyshop

What's at stake

Aaron Phillips is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Daniel Bzdigian carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aaron PhillipsNow 1502
If they win+15→ 1517
If they lose-17→ 1485
Daniel BzdigianNow 1477
If they win+26→ 1503
If they lose-22→ 1455

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.51
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0.86
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
44%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aaron PhillipsDaniel Bzdigian
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Bzdigian60%
Aaron Phillips 40%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Bzdigian a 60% favorite over Aaron Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Phillips's way (46%).

Aaron Phillips holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1477, a 25-point edge.

Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.