Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Pico vs Jamall Emmers

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record23-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamPinnacle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PicoNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Jamall EmmersNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.16
Sig. strikes / min
5.10
54%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
45%
Strike defense
58%
6.54
Takedown avg.
2.59
13%
Takedown accuracy
23%
0%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Aaron PicoJamall Emmers
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
10 (43%)
2 (14%)
Submission
3 (13%)
3 (21%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Pico54%
Jamall Emmers 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Pico a 54% favorite over Jamall Emmers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1705), separated by just 4 points.

Jamall Emmers enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Aaron Pico finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Jamall Emmers 57%.

Jamall Emmers carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.