Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Simpson vs Emerson Richard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record8-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight176 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamFTBH

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron SimpsonNow 1542
If they win+16→ 1558
If they lose-16→ 1526
Emerson RichardNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
3.78
Takedown avg.
Not available
35%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
83%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.47
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Aaron SimpsonEmerson Richard
1500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (13%)
5 (42%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Simpson62%
Emerson Richard 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Simpson a 62% favorite over Emerson Richard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1539), separated by just 3 points.

Aaron Simpson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Emerson Richard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aaron Simpson finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Emerson Richard 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.