Aaron Trujillo vs Bevon Lewis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'3"
70,0"Reach79.00
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Bevon Lewis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Aaron Trujillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1518
If they lose-23→ 1470
If they win+23→ 1534
If they lose-25→ 1486
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron TrujilloBevon Lewis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Trujillo55%
Bevon Lewis 45%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Trujillo a 55% favorite over Bevon Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bevon Lewis's way (47%).
Bevon Lewis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1511 to 1493, a 18-point edge.
Bevon Lewis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bevon Lewis 43%.
Bevon Lewis carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.