Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Trujillo vs David Allen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record2-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'0"
70,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamRoker Rough House MMA

What's at stake

Aaron Trujillo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — David Allen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aaron TrujilloNow 1493
If they win+22→ 1515
If they lose-26→ 1467
David AllenNow 1469
If they win+26→ 1495
If they lose-22→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
2.18
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.44
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aaron TrujilloDavid Allen
145015002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen60%
Aaron Trujillo 40%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 60% favorite over Aaron Trujillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Trujillo's way (47%).

Aaron Trujillo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1469, a 24-point edge.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.