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Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdelkrim Zouad vs Francisco Prado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach69"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA BarcelonaTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1668 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdelkrim ZouadNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Francisco PradoNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.09
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.95
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.94
Not available
Takedown accuracy
19%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Abdelkrim ZouadFrancisco Prado
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
4 (50%)
Submission
6 (50%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Prado70%
Abdelkrim Zouad 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 70% favorite over Abdelkrim Zouad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1652), separated by just 2 points.

Abdelkrim Zouad enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Abdelkrim Zouad finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Prado 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.