Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev vs Uran Satybaldiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
-Reach79"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamUluu Kyrgyz Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Uran SatybaldievNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevUran Satybaldiev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (22%)
12 (60%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev59%
Uran Satybaldiev 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev a 59% favorite over Uran Satybaldiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1686), separated by just 2 points.

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.