Combat Edge Intelligence

Abe Alsaghir vs Patrick Ocheme

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
72" Reach76"
155 lbsWeight157 lbs
TBDTeamMayhem Fitness Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abe AlsaghirNow 1666
If they win+24→ 1690
If they lose-24→ 1642
Patrick OchemeNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Abe AlsaghirPatrick Ocheme
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (38%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Abe Alsaghir and Patrick Ocheme within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.

Abe Alsaghir enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Patrick Ocheme enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Abe Alsaghir finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Ocheme 63%.

Patrick Ocheme carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.