Abraham Bably vs Artur Astakhov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record22-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
242 lbsWeight205 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamRaty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abraham BablyArtur Astakhov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Artur Astakhov57%
Abraham Bably 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Artur Astakhov a 57% favorite over Abraham Bably in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abraham Bably's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1620), separated by just 4 points.
Artur Astakhov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abraham Bably finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Artur Astakhov 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.